La economía española: la historia del cerdo que podía volar

El Financial Times publica un pesimista artículo sobre la economía española.- Asegura que en nuestro país se puede ver lo «más dramático» de la crisis económica mundial

 Esto publicado por El País/Madrid hoy.  Comentario mío al final.

 

España está condenada a una «profunda recesión» debido el déficit por cuenta corriente, que alcanza un 10% del PIB , a la imposibilidad de devaluar la divisa al pertenecer a la eurozona y al endurecimiento de las normas crediticias por parte del BCE, según un artículo del Financial Times.

El diario británico hace un balance de las economías portuguesa, italiana, griega y española, a las que se refiere como «cerdos» (Pigs por sus siglas en inglés). Según el periódico, «es un apodo peyorativo, aunque refleja en gran medida la realidad» de estas economías.

«Hace ocho años, los cerdos llegaron realmente a volar. Sus economías se dispararon después de unirse a la eurozona. (…) Ahora los cerdos están cayendo de nuevo a tierra», dice el diario.

En este sentido, añade que el déficit por cuenta corriente afecta especialmente a España, Portugal y Grecia. Ante esta situación, Financial Times indica que las medidas más evidentes como la devaluación de la divisa o la recaudación de fondos del BCE parecen complicadas. Así, apunta que financiar este déficit es cada vez más complicado en un momento de restricción crediticia, especialmente en el caso de España, donde sus bancos y cajas han usado garantías de baja calidad.

Todo esto apunta a una profunda recesión: «El indicio más dramático de ello puede apreciarse en España, donde el índice de desempleo aumentó casi un punto porcentual en el segundo trimestre», apunta el editorial británico. No es, precisamente, la primera vez que la prensa internacional se fija en la crisis en España. En agosto, el New York Times dedicó un amplio reportaje a la «resaca» que sufría la economía española y en ese mismo mes la prensa internacional ha dado buena cuenta del final del milagro económico en nuestro país.

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Muy cierto, y aún es peor.  Si damos la opinión a nivel de calle, contamos cómo lo pasan los trabajadores que se han quedado sin laburo.  Muy mal.  Y recordemos a los latinoamericanos que puedan leer esto, y que piensan que aún así estamos bien, que en España no existe el Seguro de Paro en la forma que se creen al otro lado del charco.  En Europa el Seguro de Paro, pongamos por caso Inglaterra y el Job Seeker Allowance. Es una cantidad que se recibe por tiempo indefinido y puede tener ayuda familiar además. Pero para un soltero sin hijos, no le da para comer y pagar una habitación, atento.  Puede comer, y vivir en un banco de la plaza.  O pagarse una habitación en un conventillo y no comer -excepto si hace algún trapicheo.

En España es todavía peor.  Tiene una duración limitada, van recortando el pago progresivamente [ para estimular al parado, a moverse y buscar trabajo ], no incluye ninguna ayuda familiar y cuando se acaba NADA.  Si quieres comer, tienes que ir a Caritas, a la Iglesia o la Cruz Roja, a ver.

ESTO FUE UNA ACLARACIÓN NECESARIA, AHORA VAMOS A UN COMENTARIO SOBRE ESTA NOTICIA

 Los ingleses, es su puta psicología, se pasan entre ellos todo el tiempo y no te digo si es con extranjeros, haciendo el put-down.  => Rebajando.  Ellos se creen lo mejor de Europa y del mundo, desdeñan y menosprecian los logros ajenos  y cualquier noticia mala su prensa la amplifica.  Para ocultar que esto es un daño generalizado en la economía europea.

Hoy mismo, como los bancos alemanes Dredsner y Commerzbank se han unido, van a la calle 1200 empleados bancarios de la City de Londres, su corazón financiero.  Por supuesto, en toda Europa van miles de bancarios al paro por esta fusión.

Por cierto y para que se note que los ingleses son cada vez menos dueños de su propio destino y su economía, Merkel eligió echar a la calle a estos empleados bien pagados, porque tenía la opción de haberle vendido Dredsner a los chinos que no iban a tirar a nadie.  Prefirió agudizar la Depresión Económica [es ya evidente] antes que aceptar que los chinos entraran en la banca alemana.

Si me pusiera a hacer una lista de los desastres económicos que pasan día a día en el Reino Unido, sería contar y no acabar, ni tengo tiempo ni me gusta el tema.  Pero esto es como una película de Godzilla, que el monstruo tira rascacielos a derecha e izquierda.  Y como si a los ingleses les va mal, a mi me puede ir peor, miremos a otro lado.

Vean lo que escribe un norteamericano sobre el Reino Unido

  Monday, September 1, 2008

Debt Rattle, September 1 2008: Once was empire

 On this North American holiday, the main economic story, apart from Gustav making landfall in Louisiana, is the unabated decline of the British empire.

Britain falls so hard and so fast that it’s getting scary to think of where it is headed. I have warned for quite a while that it would happen, but I have to admit that even I am surprised to see the speed at which events unfold.

As the extent of the downfall and the reality of new-found desolate poverty seep through to the consciousness of the population, English society will reveal itself as an immensely volatile powder keg, with a very long array of very short fuses.
The de-facto resignation of Chancellor Alistair Darling -who publicly stated the UK economy is in far worse shape then the government lets on, knowing he will now have to go for saying so- reveals how desperate the situation is. Whether Darling comes or goes, the government can no longer keep up the pretense.
The veneer of control has become so hard to maintain that Gordon Brown resorts to a level of nonsense that seems impossible to top:
«In the next 20 years, the world economy will double in its size and wealth and we have a great opportunity to win new business, new jobs and prosperity for Britain.»

On second thought, perhaps I underestimate the prime minister. It is entirely possible that that insane-looking statement serves the same purpose as Mr. Darling’s fatal interview this weekend. We may be looking at Mr. Brown’s own well-calculated de-facto resignation.

British government denies rift over economy

Gordon Brown today brushed off speculation about the future of Chancellor Alistair Darling following his warning that the economy was facing possibly the worst downturn in 60 years.
The Prime Minister, attending the EU emergency summit on Georgia in Brussels, told reporters: «We are getting on with the business of government.» Mr Brown emphasised that the current economic difficulties were due to the «unique circumstances» of the trebling of world oil prices combined with the international credit crunch.
«We are showing that, unlike previous governments that could not manage a way through these difficulties successfully, that we are resilient in the way that we deal with these problems,» he said.
«I think that you will find that the actions that we have taken and the actions that we are taking are actions that are designed to help the British people get through what is a difficult world economic downturn.»

Mr Brown’s comments came after Conservative leader David Cameron accused the Chancellor of «talking the economy down». In an interview published in The Guardian on Saturday, Mr Darling admitted voters were «p***** off» with the Labour Government and said economic conditions were «arguably the worst they’ve been in 60 years».

Although he later took to the airwaves to insist he was referring to international conditions and not the state of Britain’s domestic economy, his startlingly negative comments sparked speculation that he would have to slash his forecast for economic growth in the upcoming Budget.

Commentators said he may have put his job on the line in any reshuffle by risking overshadowing the political fightback campaign planned by Mr Brown for the coming weeks. Mr Cameron told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: «It’s an extraordinary situation that we’ve got a Chancellor of the Exchequer effectively talking the economy right down.»

The Tory leader added: «As we stand at the moment, I think it is too difficult to say whether this is the worst situation for 60 years.

«I think it’s extraordinary that the Chancellor said it – because the Chancellor of the Exchequer has got to think not only ‘I must tell the truth at all times’ but also ‘I must use my words carefully so that I don’t create a situation that’s even worse’.»

Downing Street rejected reports of tension between Mr Darling and Mr Brown over the comments. Mr Brown’s spokesman insisted the Prime Minister has «full confidence» in his Chancellor and was working closely with him on a package of measures designed to help those hit by rising prices and the sluggish housing market.

Mr Brown will tomorrow join Communities Secretary Hazel Blears to unveil new help for first-time home-buyers and people facing the risk of repossession, and further announcements are expected shortly to ease the pressure of high fuel prices.

The Prime Minister is expected to paint a rosier picture of Britain’s economic prospects when he addresses the CBI on Thursday. According to The Guardian, he will say: «In the next 20 years, the world economy will double in its size and wealth and we have a great opportunity to win new business, new jobs and prosperity for Britain.»

Mr Brown has long been expected to use the early weeks of September to set out an economic recovery package designed to allay voters’ concerns over the credit crunch and rising prices and shore up Labour’s standing in the polls ahead of the party conference season.

Looking ahead to the expected announcements on housing and fuel, his spokesman said today: «We have already taken action in relation to housing and the mortgage market. We have already taken action in relation to helping people with their fuel bills. As the Prime Minister and other ministers have been saying in recent weeks, we want to continue to see what more we can do to help those affected.»

Meanwhile, Schools Secretary Ed Balls brushed off suggestions that he was angling for Mr Darling’s job. Launching a new curriculum for under-fives, Mr Balls said: «I think we’ve got a really good Chancellor in Alistair Darling and I can’t think of any more important job I could have than making sure that the children in our country are equipped to learn.»

He added that Mr Darling was «right» to «set out the challenges we face but also that we’ve got the strengths and experience and confidence to deal with difficult times».

Asked later by Channel 4 News whether Foreign Secretary David Miliband was after the Prime Minister’s job, Mr Balls said: «I’ve known him (Miliband) for very many years and I know that he is a sensible, rational, sane politician, and a good guy, and I don’t think that he would ever do anything so crazy, destructive and divisive, and that is why I am totally confident that’s not what he was doing.»


UK mortgage approvals plunge 71% to all-time low

The malaise in the housing market worsened in July as the number of mortgages approved for house purchase fell by 71 per cent to a record low of 33,000 home loans.

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Por Armando

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